BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


North Carolina

Class: 1A Class Rank: 16 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength =   97.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/12/2020 Home    W *  98.34  31   6   1A 104 (  1- 10) Syracuse                2.49     22.51                      
  2 10/03/2020 Away    W *  91.09  26  22   1A  51 (  6-  5) Boston College         -4.76      8.76                      
  3 10/10/2020 Home    W *  97.93  56  45   1A  40 (  5-  6) Virginia Tech           2.09      8.91                      
  4 10/17/2020 Away    L *  73.83  28  31   1A  96 (  3-  6) Florida St            -22.01     19.01                      
  5 10/24/2020 Home    W * 110.64  48  21   1A  54 (  8-  3) North Carolina St      14.80     12.20                      
  6 10/31/2020 Away    L *  85.87  41  44   1A  44 (  5-  5) Virginia               -9.98      6.98                      
  7 11/07/2020 Away    W * 105.69  56  24   1A 108 (  2-  9) Duke                    9.84     22.16                      
  8 11/14/2020 Home    W *  95.98  59  53   1A  27 (  4-  4) Wake Forest             0.13      5.87                      
  9 11/27/2020 Home    L    86.69  17  31   1A  11 ( 10-  1) Notre Dame             -9.16     -4.84                      
 10 12/05/2020 Home    W    86.50  49   9   1B 126 (  0-  3) Western Carolina       -9.35 *   49.35                      
 11 12/12/2020 Away    W * 131.95  62  26   1A  19 (  8-  2) Miami FL               36.10     -0.10                      
      Averages              96.77  43.0 28.4

Best game:  131.95 = 36 point win over Miami FL
Worst game:  73.83 = 3 point loss to Florida St
Team stdev:  15.49